StakeInsights Consulting studio · deep tech

The investor desk

Which company needs attention — and where will the return come from?

For private equity funds, family offices and lenders. The same traced numbers that run each company's own desks, rolled up into the view an investor actually monitors: plan, cash, covenants and value created.

Live today running in client systems Prototype built and demonstrable Can be built designed, ready to scope
Fig. 1 — How the investor desk works — sources are pulled in, experts' rules and deterministic code produce every figure, and only then does AI explain it.
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Portfolio at a glance

Which company should I call this week?

  • Every company against its own plan, on definitions the fund sets once
  • Cash conversion and covenant headroom beside profit, not buried under it
  • Shows how fresh each company's numbers are, so stale reporting is itself a flag
Fund II portfolio year to date vs planDemo
CompanyRevenueEBITDACash conv.Covenant roomData
Kestrel Agro Foods91%84%64%9%12 days old
Meridian Lubricants98%93%71%24%Today
Solace Diagnostics96%102%95%No debt3 days old
Northwind Polymers101%97%88%18%Today
Harbourline Logistics104%108%92%31%Today

Sorted by attention needed. Cash conversion is operating cash flow ÷ EBITDA.

Kestrel Agro Foods: EBITDA 16% under plan, 9% covenant headroom, and the last numbers it sent are 12 days old.

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Where the ROE comes from

If management fixes what the desks are showing, what does it do to return on equity?

  • Each lever is a finding from an operating desk, valued in rupees of profit and cash
  • Rebuilds ROE as margin × asset turns × leverage, so you see which part moved
  • Switch levers on and off — the model recomputes
Meridian Lubricants · ROE bridge annualised, ₹ CrWorking model
ROE today12.9%
ROE with levers15.2%+2.3 points
Profit after tax₹54.6 Cr
Cash released₹31.8 Cr
ROE, taken apartTodayWith levers
Net margin (profit ÷ revenue)3.60%4.23%
Asset turns (revenue ÷ assets)1.50x1.56x
Leverage (assets ÷ equity)2.39x2.30x

Revenue ₹1,290 Cr, equity ₹360 Cr, assets ₹860 Cr. Released cash repays debt at 9.5%; 25% tax.

Can be built

Value-creation plan

Is the plan we underwrote actually being delivered?

  • Each initiative from the investment case, with an owner and a rupee target
  • Value captured is measured from the company's own ledgers, not from the monthly deck
  • Shows which initiatives are behind while there's still time to act
100-day and year-one plan value captured vs target · ₹ CrDemo
Harbourline · routes3.9 of 3.5
Northwind · procurement4.8 of 6.0
Meridian · pricing2.1 of 5.2
Kestrel · plant use1.2 of 7.0

Share of each initiative's target captured, on a 0–120% scale; the tick marks 100%.

Kestrel plant utilisation at 17% of target — the same company that is tightest on covenants. The two problems are one problem.

Can be built

Covenant watch

Which company will trip a covenant before the next test date?

  • Every facility's covenants, computed the way each loan agreement defines them
  • Headroom projected forward on the current run-rate, not last quarter's certificate
  • Works equally for a lender watching its borrowers
Covenant headroom next test 31 DecDemo
Company · covenantActualLimitRoom nowProjected Dec
Kestrel Agro
Debt service cover
1.36x≥ 1.25x9%Breach
Northwind Polymers
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.05x≤ 2.5x18%11%
Meridian Lubricants
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.9x≤ 2.5x24%8%
Harbourline Logistics
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.7x≤ 2.5x31%30%

Kestrel is projected to breach in December. A waiver conversation now costs less than one after the certificate.

Can be built

Exit readiness

How much equity value is the operating plan worth at exit — and how much depends on re-rating?

  • Splits the value gain into earnings growth, multiple re-rating and debt paydown
  • Peer multiples refreshed from listed comparables, the same feed the boardroom desk uses
  • Makes the re-rating thesis explicit, so the buyer's diligence can't take it apart
Meridian · equity value bridge ₹ CrDemo
  • Earnings — EBITDA ₹101.9 Cr → ₹109.7 Cr from pricing and discount discipline; ₹76 Cr at today's 9.8x
  • Re-rating — half the gap to the 11.6x peer multiple, to 10.7x; ₹99 Cr, and the part most exposed to diligence
  • Balance sheet — ₹32 Cr of released working capital repays debt
Can be built

Quality of earnings

Is the EBITDA in the teaser the EBITDA we'd actually be buying?

  • Reads the data room — ledgers, MIS packs, contracts — the way the proposal agent reads a client package
  • Proposes each adjustment with the ledger lines behind it, for the deal team to accept or reject
  • Diligence findings carry straight over into the post-deal value-creation plan
Project Tern · EBITDA adjustments FY26 · ₹ CrDemo
ItemEBITDAEvidence
Reported EBITDA58.0Audited accounts, FY26
One-off export incentive booked as revenue−4.1Ledger 4120 · March journal
Repairs capitalised as fixed assets−2.6Asset register additions
Related-party freight below market rate−1.8Freight contract vs 3 quotes
Adjusted EBITDA49.5−14.7% vs reported

At the asking 11x multiple, ₹8.5 Cr of adjustments is ₹93.5 Cr of enterprise value.

Agents on this desk

The monthly portfolio review, without waiting for the month.

Live today

Market and peer digest

Peer results, news and share-price moves, read against each company's own numbers.

→ Deal partner
Can be built

Plan variance

A note the moment any company falls more than 5% behind plan on EBITDA or cash.

→ Portfolio operations
Can be built

Covenant early warning

Warns a quarter ahead when projected headroom at any company drops below 15%.

→ CFO and deal partner
Can be built

Late reporting

Chases a company whose numbers haven't refreshed within the agreed window.

→ Company CFO

Start with one decision

Pick the screen you wish you had on Monday.

We'll scope the smallest system that puts it in front of you — on your own data, not a demo.

Tell us the decision you're trying to make.

We'll tell you what it takes — and whether you need a custom build at all.